The optimism of the win predictor - Sri Lanka Vs New Zealand T20 World Cup 2026

There was no way that Sri lanka were going to score 64 runs in 2 balls and win their Super Eights encounter against New Zealand. Still, the win predictor gave them a 0.01% chance when in my opinion they didn't have a chance in a gazillion to walk away as the victors.

New Zealand vs Sri lanka scorecard 2026 T20 World Cup

2026 T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka scorecard

In order for Sri Lanka to have a shout:

Glen Phillips had to offer up at least 9-10 no-balls
Chameera or Theekshana would then have had to launch each of those free hits into the stands
That's 9-10 sixes on the trot while there's only instance (Meghalaya's Akash Kumar Choudhary during a Ranji match) in the entire history of cricket where a batsman managed to score the maximum, eight out of eight times

Considering the fact that Glen Phillips' offbreaks are a regular part of New Zealand's limited overs bowling set-up and facing him were two tailenders, victory was impossible. There was a mathematical probability of a win (as illustrated above) but wouldn't you agree 0.01% was a tad too optimistic? What are your thoughts? Do drop a comment?

Until next time,

Your sports analyst.

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